Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.045572 0.049658 0.053806 0.058324 0.063099 0.067989 0.073367
2025-03-09 0.038248 0.044122 0.050312 0.057294 0.064923 0.072979 0.082104
2025-03-16 0.034426 0.041741 0.049701 0.058945 0.069322 0.080551 0.093560
2025-03-23 0.030957 0.039315 0.048684 0.059851 0.072685 0.086867 0.103611
2025-03-30 0.028012 0.037153 0.047684 0.060534 0.075616 0.092585 0.112949
2025-04-06 0.025063 0.034693 0.046084 0.060300 0.077311 0.096771 0.120470
2025-04-13 0.023418 0.033645 0.046022 0.061763 0.080907 0.103107 0.130464
2025-04-20 0.021007 0.031429 0.044357 0.061128 0.081870 0.106261 0.136683
2025-04-27 0.019320 0.030000 0.043546 0.061434 0.083884 0.110607 0.144282
2025-05-04 0.018186 0.029202 0.043455 0.062572 0.086874 0.116102 0.153257
2025-05-11 0.017509 0.028961 0.044039 0.064537 0.090879 0.122839 0.163768
2025-05-18 0.015292 0.026421 0.041448 0.062274 0.089451 0.122831 0.166015
2025-05-25 0.013771 0.024791 0.040026 0.061512 0.089944 0.125247 0.171331
2025-06-01 0.012492 0.023421 0.038880 0.061057 0.090788 0.128083 0.177177
2025-06-08 0.012120 0.023390 0.039593 0.063109 0.094922 0.135106 0.188303
2025-06-15 0.011493 0.022917 0.039642 0.064230 0.097824 0.140579 0.197525
2025-06-22 0.010827 0.022330 0.039485 0.065039 0.100296 0.145506 0.206087
2025-06-29 0.009938 0.021314 0.038643 0.064838 0.101381 0.148629 0.212362
2025-07-06 0.009581 0.021151 0.039052 0.066402 0.104858 0.154874 0.222658
2025-07-13 0.008698 0.020027 0.037948 0.065747 0.105266 0.157090 0.227780
2025-07-20 0.008119 0.019383 0.037545 0.066075 0.107008 0.161051 0.235162
2025-07-27 0.007780 0.019140 0.037746 0.067276 0.109958 0.166617 0.244646
2025-08-03 0.007648 0.019266 0.038528 0.069344 0.114138 0.173847 0.256342